Award-Winning Architecture with Alterstudio and Positive Energy
The architectural landscape in Austin, Texas, has been profoundly shaped by a unique and enduring partnership between Alterstudio Architects, a firm celebrated for its deep commitment to the design process and exceptional residential projects, and Positive Energy, a pioneering residential MEP engineering and building science firm. This collaboration has consistently pushed the boundaries of conventional design and construction, resulting in stunning pieces of residential architecture that are not only aesthetically remarkable but also embody comfort, health, and inspiration.1 Their combined expertise has been instrumental in translating architectural vision into tangible, high-performance spaces.
Alterstudio Architects and Positive Energy: A Longstanding Collaborative Partnership
The architectural landscape in Austin, Texas, has been profoundly shaped by a unique and enduring partnership between Alterstudio Architects, a firm celebrated for its deep commitment to the design process and exceptional residential projects, and Positive Energy, a pioneering residential MEP engineering and building science firm. This collaboration has consistently pushed the boundaries of conventional design and construction, resulting in stunning pieces of residential architecture that are not only aesthetically remarkable but also embody comfort, health, and inspiration.1 Their combined expertise has been instrumental in translating architectural vision into tangible, high-performance spaces.
The Genesis and Evolution of a Unique Partnership
The foundation of this long-standing relationship lies in a shared dedication to excellence and a proactive approach to problem-solving. Over time, our inter-firm communication has become remarkably smooth, fostering a project team environment where we effortlessly anticipate one another's needs. This level of mutual understanding is a hallmark of truly integrated design, significantly contributing to efficiency and innovation by minimizing costly revisions and maximizing creative potential. The tangible success of this synergy is evident in the dozens of projects they have completed together, many of which have garnered an arsenal of awards and have been extensively published, serving as powerful testament to their collective impact on the built environment.
Ernesto Cragnolino's Testimonial: The Search for a True MEP Partner
The value of this partnership is perhaps best articulated by Ernesto Cragnolino, FAIA, of Alterstudio Architects. He recounts a prevalent challenge faced by architects in the custom residential sector: the difficulty of finding an MEP partner with both specialized residential expertise and a genuine commitment to integration with architectural design. Cragnolino shares the firm's journey:
“I have been working in custom residential architecture in Austin, Texas for over 15 years. Our firm prides itself on thorough attention to detail, and to the resolution of technical issues especially as they relate to the broader experience of the architecture. For many years I had sought out a partner that could work with us on the integration of HVAC systems. We tried everything: working with design/build installers in the design phase, subcontracting with mechanical engineers whose specialty was obviously commercial, and reaching out to companies outside of Austin that claimed to specialize in residential HVAC. The results ranged from modest regrets to full on disappointment. When we came across Positive Energy, we finally felt like we had a dedicated and knowledgeable team member that would help us take our projects to another level of resolution. It has truly been a successful partnership.”
This candid account highlights a significant industry gap: the scarcity of MEP partners who possess both specialized residential expertise and a commitment to true integration with the architectural design. Positive Energy, offering a "dedicated and knowledgeable team member," directly enables Alterstudio to achieve a "next level of resolution" in their projects. Positive Energy's specialized, integrated MEP services are a catalyst for Alterstudio's remarkable architectural design quality and problem-solving capabilities, allowing them to realize more complex and higher-performing designs. Positive Energy doesn’t just view itself as an MEP service provider, but rather as a co-creator of the world class architecture projects that Alterstudio brings to life.
Creating Comfortable, Healthy, and Inspiring Spaces
The collaborative spirit between Alterstudio and Positive Energy is rooted in a holistic design philosophy. Kristof Irwin of Positive Energy and Ernesto Cragnolino of Alterstudio have jointly presented to other architects, discussing the nature of their partnership and their methodology for creating "incredible, comfortable, and healthy spaces that allow the human spirit to soar with inspiration".
The fact that both principals actively share their collaborative approach through joint presentations to peers signifies that their partnership is not merely a successful business arrangement, but a replicable model for integrated design within the broader architectural community. This shared design philosophy transcends purely aesthetic or energy-efficiency goals, prioritizing the occupant's overall well-being and experience. Our collaborative work is a leading example for architects seeking to design spaces that genuinely enhance human life, aligning with the aspiration to inspire the audience to create impactful spaces.
Shaping Austin's Architectural Record: Project Spotlights
An Overview of How Design Intent Meets Built Reality
Each project featured below exemplifies the seamless integration of Alterstudio's distinctive architectural vision with Positive Energy's advanced MEP and building science expertise. This collaboration is what optimizes each structure for performance, long-term durability, and unparalleled occupant comfort. Across all these highlighted projects, Positive Energy's consistent scope of work was comprehensive MEP Engineering, underscoring their critical and consistent role in bringing these complex designs to fruition.
Highland Park Residence
The Highland Park Residence stands as a testament to architectural ingenuity, establishing an "extraordinary interior environment" on a property initially "devoid of significant natural features or mature trees" and closely flanked by neighboring structures. Its striking features include a "continuous stone bar [that] hovers precariously at the building line, bends to define a private courtyard, and dramatically cantilevers 35 feet at the entry". The interior boasts "surprising verticality" in the living room, with "curved glass panels and expansive retracting doors" that skillfully blur the boundary between inside and out.
Photography: Casey Dunn
The ambitious architectural elements, particularly the "dramatically cantilevers 35 feet" and the extensive use of "curved glass panels and expansive retracting doors," inherently pose significant challenges for maintaining thermal performance, managing solar heat gain, and ensuring structural integrity. For an architect who knows that execution will require precision, such features raise immediate questions about how they can be made comfortable, energy-efficient, and durable. This project is a prime example of how ambitious architectural forms necessitate sophisticated MEP and building science integration. Positive Energy's MEP engineering was paramount in addressing these complexities. This project involved precise HVAC system design to account for large glass surfaces, meticulous coordination of high-performance glazing, and sophisticated air sealing and insulation strategies to mitigate thermal bridging and prevent air leakage. These measures were crucial in ensuring consistent indoor comfort and energy efficiency within such an open and vertically dynamic space, transforming potential performance liabilities into architectural triumphs.
The Highland Park Residence has received numerous accolades, including the 2022 AIA Housing Awards, 2021 Residential Architect Design Awards, and 2020 Builder's Choice / Custom Homes Magazine Merit Award. It has been published in prestigious outlets such as YinjiSpace, Residential Design Magazine, and Interior Design Homes.
West Campus Residence
The West Campus Residence was thoughtfully designed by architect-owners seeking a more suitable space for their growing family. Their deep knowledge of the neighborhood allowed them to acquire and subdivide an "unusually wide lot" into two narrow parcels. The presence of mature Live Oaks, coupled with zoning setbacks and parking requirements, dictated a compact building footprint. The resulting home features a vertically clad wood volume housing four bedrooms above a more agile, open-plan ground floor wrapped in mill-finished steel panels, reflecting a commitment to "compact, efficient living" deeply attuned to its natural surroundings.
Photography: Casey Dunn
The "compact building footprint" and commitment to "efficient living" are direct architectural responses to specific site constraints and programmatic needs. These design choices inherently create a requirement for highly efficient and precisely controlled MEP systems to ensure comfort and optimal indoor air quality within a smaller, potentially more densely occupied volume. The vertical organization of spaces creates challenges for effective air distribution and maintaining consistent temperatures across different levels, especially considering the natural tendency for heat to rise. Positive Energy's role was critical in ensuring efficient HVAC zoning to address thermal stratification, providing proper ventilation for a compact space to maintain healthy indoor air quality, and detailing the building envelope to prevent moisture issues and thermal discomfort, particularly given the chosen material palette. This project clearly illustrates how site-driven architectural decisions directly influence the complexity and necessity of sophisticated MEP and building science solutions.
The West Campus Residence has been recognized with the 2023 AIA Small Project Awards, 2022 AIA National Housing Awards, and 2021 Residential Architect Design Awards. It was also featured in Dwell+.
Falcon Ledge Residence
The Falcon Ledge Residence is a remarkable testament to overcoming an "impossible site" – a property that falls off "precipitously directly from the street’s curb". The innovative solution involved first erecting a "platform" adjacent to the street, which later became the garage and a bridge connecting to the main house. The home itself is uniquely organized "upside down," with the main living spaces on the top floor and private spaces below. This "unexpected tower" form was largely "determined by the logic of its construction and sequencing".
Photography: Casey Dunn
The Falcon Ledge Residence is a beautiful example of how deep building science knowledge and innovative MEP engineering enable architectural breakthroughs in the face of extreme site limitations. The "upside-down" organization and the exposed "tower" form presented unconventional challenges for HVAC design. Managing heat gain and loss at the highly exposed upper living levels, while ensuring efficient and consistent air distribution throughout the entire vertical structure, required a customized and thoughtful approach. Positive Energy's expertise was vital in designing systems that effectively condition such a tall, exposed structure, potentially incorporating strategies to mitigate stack effect and ensure thermal comfort across multiple, uniquely arranged levels. Our approach to HVAC design was performance-driven with a sympathetic understanding of the building envelope, essential to make an unconventional structure not just habitable, but comfortable, and durable.
This innovative project has garnered significant recognition, including the 2025 AIA Austin Design Awards, 2023 Residential Architect Design Awards, 2023 Texas Society of Architecture Design Awards, and 2023 American Architecture Awards. It has been featured in prominent publications such as Dezeen, Texas Architect, and Architectural Record.
Constant Springs Residence
Set on a typical suburban lot that backs unexpectedly onto a wooded escarpment and creek, the Constant Springs Residence masterfully balances urban proximity with the sense of an isolated retreat. Designed for a family of four, it features a one-story structure oriented horizontally beneath the canopy of preserved mature Live Oaks. A defining characteristic is the "continuous Western Red Cedar ceiling that extends inside and out, complemented by strategic roof openings that embrace both the trees and sky themselves. The home utilizes a restrained material palette of cedar, marble, limestone, white oak, and steel, along with custom glazing, to intimately connect interior spaces with both a front courtyard and the dramatic natural landscape.
Photography: Casey Dunn
The architectural aspiration for a continuous indoor-outdoor ceiling and large, framing openings created building science complexities, particularly concerning moisture management and thermal bridging. Positive Energy's MEP expertise was critical in designing systems that precisely manage humidity levels and ensuring consistent thermal comfort. This involved advanced humidity control systems and careful consideration of thermal bridges to maintain the integrity of the building envelope. Positive Energy's MEP solutions for this project helped enable bold aesthetic choices to be realized without compromising the building's long-term performance, durability, or occupant health. It demonstrates that the highly desirable architectural feature of seamless indoor-outdoor living is only truly successful and sustainable when underpinned by robust building science to expertly manage the environmental conditions.
This residence has earned accolades such as the 2022 Residential Design Architecture Awards, 2018 Texas Society of Architects Design Awards, 2018 IIDA Excellence in Design Award, 2018 AIA Austin Design Awards, and 2017 Architecture MasterPrize. It has been featured in Dwell and Austin Monthly.
Tumbleweed Residence
The Tumbleweed Residence embodies the owners' desire to embrace their surroundings through "simple materials -steel, concrete block, wood-" and a deep "celebration of craft and evidence of the hand in the construction". The design comprises "three volumes assembled to create a composition integral with the landscape," abstracted with "clean, white stucco, adopting curves to ease the edges of a sharper modernism".1 This abstraction of the stucco volumes intentionally contrasts with the "tactile, bold materials" that define the interior, where meticulous craftsmanship is evident in details like custom steel window welds and hand-turned walnut bar stools.
Photography: Casey Dunn
The project's explicit focus on "simple materials" and a "celebration of craft" might, at first glance, suggest a less technically complex building. However, for these seemingly straightforward materials to perform optimally and for the building to achieve long-term durability and occupant comfort, the underlying building science and MEP integration must be even more rigorous and precise. Exposed materials often mean less tolerance for error in the hidden layers of the wall assembly. Positive Energy’s work supports aesthetically driven material choices such that they can be seamlessly integrated into a high-performance building envelope, preventing thermal bridging and ensuring airtightness, so that the thermal loads are reduced. This project highlights a crucial fact that even a "simple" aesthetic requires sophisticated technical integration to ensure the building's performance and resilience.
This project received the 2018 Texas Society of Architects Design Award and was published in Texas Architect.
Tarrytown Residence
The Tarrytown Residence is designed to "unfold around the articulated, private landscape at its center". Its interiors "open fully to the outdoors beneath a continuous ceiling plane, delicately held in place by expansive, custom site-glazed window walls". The composition is anchored by "two abstract volumes—clad in elongated black brick and black-stained cedar", which serve to shield the home and provide a defense against future neighboring development. The interior showcases a rich contrast between dark masonry and finely crafted millwork, raw steel, and a vibrant palette of fabric, wallpaper, and tile. The architecture masterfully balances "intimacy and openness" throughout its carefully choreographed spaces.
Photography: Casey Dunn
This project strongly reinforces a recurring theme in Alterstudio's work: the architectural ambition to create seamless and beautiful indoor-outdoor connections through glass and continuous ceiling planes. The "expansive, custom site-glazed window walls" are a signature of modern design but inherently pose challenges for energy performance and occupant comfort. Similar to the Constant Springs Residence, these elements demand meticulous attention to thermal performance, air sealing, and condensation prevention. The use of dark exterior materials like "black brick and black-stained cedar" can also increase solar heat absorption, potentially leading to higher cooling loads. Positive Energy's MEP expertise was crucial in designing HVAC systems capable of carefully and efficiently managing these substantial thermal loads. This project underscores the critical necessity of a strong MEP engineering firm to ensure that architectural aspirations do not lead to uncomfortable, inefficient, or unhealthy spaces.
This project has received numerous prestigious awards, including the 2023 Texas Society of Architects Design Awards, 2022 Residential Architecture Design Awards, 2020 Builder's Choice / Custom Homes Magazine Grand Award, 2020 Architecture Masterprize Honorable Mention, 2019 AIA Austin Design Awards, and 2019 Society of Registered Architects National Design Awards.1 It has been published in Architectural Record and Arch Daily.
Elevating Architecture Through Collaboration
The long-standing collaboration between Alterstudio Architects and Positive Energy serves as a compelling testament to the fact that truly exceptional architecture, particularly in the custom residential sector, is increasingly a product of deep, integrated design. Positive Energy's specialized expertise in MEP engineering and building science has not merely supported, but fundamentally enabled Alterstudio's ability to produce award-winning, distinctive designs, consistently pushing the boundaries of what is aesthetically and functionally possible within Austin's architectural landscape.
This partnership highlights a critical paradigm shift in architectural practice: building science is not an afterthought or a reactive fix, but a foundational element that must be integrated and considered from the earliest conceptual design phases. A meticulously designed building envelope, acting as the building's protective skin, and sophisticated MEP systems are absolutely essential for achieving long-term durability, optimal indoor air quality, superior thermal comfort, and exemplary energy efficiency in modern residential projects.8 The profound success and recognition garnered by Alterstudio and Positive Energy's projects strongly suggest that the traditional, linear design process—where architects design and engineers then add systems—is increasingly insufficient for creating high-performance, award-winning residential architecture. The collaboration showcased throughout this report points to a necessary paradigm shift towards a concurrent, integrated design process.
This integrated approach unlocks greater creative freedom for architects, allowing them to pursue ambitious designs with confidence, knowing that the technical complexities will be expertly managed. It ensures that innovative architectural forms are not only beautiful but also perform optimally, providing comfortable, healthy, and durable environments for occupants. The consistent delivery of exceptional occupant experiences that genuinely allow the human spirit to soar is the ultimate outcome of such a partnership. Architects are encouraged to actively seek out MEP and building science partners who not only share their design vision but can also provide the "next level of resolution" for their projects, transforming challenges into opportunities for architectural excellence.
Positive Energy's Education and Advocacy Efforts
Our comprehensive approach to MEP engineering and building science consulting is deeply rooted in a strategic vision that extends far beyond individual project delivery. Our commitment to the idea of "Healthy people, healthy planet” is unwavering. It is not just a statement, but a guiding principle that permeates our extensive education and advocacy efforts. Through the firm’s Building Science Blog and The Building Science Podcast, we aim to actively cultivate knowledge everywhere we can, demystifying complex technical concepts like indoor air quality and intricate wall assembly dynamics for architects and the broader industry. This accessible knowledge transfer empowers architects to confidently integrate advanced building science into their designs, mitigating risks and ensuring the long-term performance and durability of their projects.
Positive Energy is an MEP engineering firm that has carved a distinctive niche by specializing in high-end residential architecture projects. One way we differentiate ourselves as a firm is through our commitment to integrating building science expertise with human-centered MEP design/engineering. We engineer spaces that are not merely functional but are fundamentally healthy, comfortable, and resilient. This specialized focus allows us to apply deep building science and engineering expertise to the unique challenges and opportunities inherent in the complex architecture-driven custom home market.
But our differentiation in the market of MEP engineering firms extends beyond the technical specifications of individual projects. Our mission is to actually change the way society delivers conditioned space to itself. That mission also encompasses improving the lives of our employees and fostering meaningful relationships with our project partners. These commitments are guided by an overarching vision: "Healthy people, healthy planet." This aspirational goal is a moral and strategic compass, driving initiatives that reach far beyond the immediate confines of a single construction project.
A cornerstone of Positive Energy’s philosophy involves active collaboration. We partner closely with architects, contractors, and owner representatives, a strategic alliance designed to elevate the lived experience of architecture. This collaborative ethos is woven into every aspect of our work, enhancing how people get to interact with and thrive within their built environments. Kristof Irwin, the Principal and Founder of Positive Energy, frequently articulates this expansive ambition, emphasizing that society is "due for an upgrade in the way it thinks about and delivers indoor space to itself," and that a higher standard should be expected from homes.
Positive Energy’s work is not confined to the delivery of MEP systems for specific projects. Our mission-focused engineering team, equipped with extensive expertise, actively solve problems in design that result in excellent outcomes for owners. These outcomes include the creation of healthier indoor environments and the electrification of homes with resilient systems, contributing directly to society's transition away from fossil fuel-based solutions.2 This demonstrates a clear link between their project-level work and significant societal and environmental impacts. The firm's strategic approach, which integrates education and advocacy, serves as a powerful lever to achieve this expansive "healthy people, healthy planet" vision. By empowering architects with critical knowledge and confidence, Positive Energy aims to foster designs that yield profound, lasting positive impacts on occupants' well-being and the planet's health.
Our business model transcends typical transactional engagements and encompasses what we call market development. When a company invests significantly in educating its partners and the wider industry, and articulates a mission and vision that extend beyond its immediate revenue streams, you can bet that it’s a strategic intent to shape the market. By fostering a greater understanding and demand for high-performance, healthy buildings, Positive Energy is cultivating a professional environment where our specialized services are not just desirable, but become an essential component of high quality architecture. This approach is a form of market-shaping, where education and advocacy are not merely marketing tools but integral components of our service delivery and a core strategy for market differentiation and long-term influence.
Positive Energy's Educational Platforms
Positive Energy actively curates and shares knowledge across the AEC industry, recognizing that widespread understanding of building science and what’s possible with better MEP engineering practices is crucial for systemic change. Our primary educational vehicles are the company blog and The Building Science Podcast, both meticulously designed to make complex technical information accessible and actionable for professionals, particularly architects. These platforms are explicitly part of our Education and Advocacy efforts , reflecting a core value of "continual learning and improvement" within the firm.3 This commitment to providing extensive, free educational content represents a significant strategic investment. It serves to cultivate a market for high-performance design, position Positive Energy as a leader, and build trust within the industry. By raising the overall knowledge base of architects, the firm contributes to a market where advanced building practices are the norm, expanding the pool of potential clients for their specialized services and attracting top-tier talent passionate about building science.
The Building Science Blog
Positive Energy's blog serves as a robust and accessible public resource, offering well-researched posts on a diverse range of building science, engineering, and architecture topics. In fact, you’re reading this very article on the company blog. It functions as one of the primary educational arm of the firm, translating complex technical information into practical, digestible insights specifically tailored for architects and other industry professionals. The firm’s commitment to knowledge accessibility means that we try our best to present even the most intricate concepts clearly, in hopes of fostering a deeper understanding among our readership.
The blog directly addresses core areas where architects often seek practical guidance, particularly concerning MEP systems, building resilience, energy systems, building enclosures, and indoor air quality. For instance, the article "The Damp Deception: How a Well-Intentioned Code Change is Fostering Mold in New Homes,"delves into critical issues related to moisture dynamics within building envelopes, especially in hot-humid climate zones. This piece is highly relevant to architects who need to understand how seemingly minor code shifts can inadvertently lead to significant durability problems like mold growth, emphasizing the importance of proper wall assembly design and ventilation strategies. Another insightful piece, "The Case for Dedicated Dehumidification In Sealed Attics," meticulously explains the unique moisture challenges that arise with modern sealed attic construction. It clarifies how this approach, while offering benefits for HVAC performance, necessitates "precise and active management to prevent long-term durability issues and maintain superior indoor air quality". The blog further explores "Understanding 'Ping Pong Water' and Navigating Attic Moisture Dynamics in Modern Roof Assemblies", dissecting the intricate physics of moisture movement within various building components, empowering architects to design for long-term resilience.
Another favorite is the post called "Breathing Easy: The Case for a National Indoor Air Quality Code in the United States." This article highlights the significant, yet often unregulated, public health challenge posed by indoor air pollution and makes a compelling case for a comprehensive federal IAQ code. It directly addresses the architect's need to understand not only what constitutes good IAQ but also the systemic regulatory gaps that impede its consistent achievement. The blog also features "Designing Healthier Homes by Eliminating Fossil Gas Appliance Emissions," which emphasizes the architect's pivotal role in proactively designing for superior IAQ through informed material selection and integrated mechanical system design. This content is intended to be empowering for architects across the world to think of themselves as critical guardians of public well-being within the built environment, expanding the more traditional/conventional scope of responsibility.
The blog consistently features content on critical industry transitions, such as the "Electrification of Domestic Hot Water" and the shift to "Hydronic Systems for Future-Ready Architecture." These topics are framed as essential for decarbonizing buildings and fostering a more resilient energy infrastructure. "The Resurgence of Natural Building Materials in High-End Homes: A Building Science Perspective for Architects," addresses the escalating demand for homes that embody both sophisticated elegance and profound environmental responsibility. It explores the integration of biophilic design principles and eco-friendly materials to achieve goals like net-zero energy and reduced carbon footprints. This helps architects understand the broader implications of their material specifications. The article "Resilience in Action: A New Year's Resolution for the Built Environment,"is a great example of our firm’s commitment to designing buildings that can effectively withstand extreme weather events and power outages, a growing concern for everyone in the face of climate change.
We try to keep the blog’s writing style dignified, but accessible. Our posts often frame technical discussions within the practical context of architectural practice and design decisions. For example, "Interview Questions For Architecture Firms" directly engages owners who are looking for a potential architecture firm so they can evaluate candidates based on crucial aspects of their professional practice; ethos, process, and technical knowledge.
Our blog content goes beyond merely informing; it serves as a strategic, proactive risk mitigation tool for architects. The firm understands that architects often lack confidence in understanding how walls interact with the physical environment or the details of what constitutes indoor air quality. By providing clear, practical, and accessible explanations of building science principles related to common failure points—such as moisture issues in wall assemblies or poor IAQ—Positive Energy implicitly helps architects anticipate and prevent costly mistakes. Design errors in these areas can lead to significant building durability issues, adverse health impacts for occupants, expensive callbacks, potential litigation, and damage to an architect's professional reputation. This proactive knowledge transfer enhances the architect's technical competence and confidence, contributing directly to the delivery of more durable, healthier, and higher-performing buildings. This strategy fosters deeper trust and positions Positive Energy as an indispensable, forward-thinking partner committed to the long-term success and reduced liability of the architectural community.
The Building Science Podcast
Hosted by Kristof Irwin, Principal and Co-Founder of Positive Energy, and produced by M. Walker, Principal and Director of Business Development and Special Projects, The Building Science Podcast is a prized educational and advocacy platform. We have tried to distinguish our approach to topic and guest interview curation by moving beyond pure technical specifics to exploring the broader philosophical, ethical, and systemic aspects of building science and its profound impact on human lives and the planet. We are deeply interested in adjacent fields of scientific study that intersect with and impact building systems.
Kristof Irwin's extensive background—including 14 years as an engineer, research scientist, and high-energy physicist, followed by 12 years as a custom builder and 19 years as a building science consultant and MEP engineer—lends immense credibility and a unique perspective to the podcast's discussions. His active roles in high-performance building communities, such as serving on the board of Passive House Austin and his involvement with AIA BEC (Building Enclosure Committee) and COTE (Committee on the Environment) committees, further solidify his position as an influential voice in the industry. His hosting of the podcast is explicitly "dedicated to moving the AEC forward through an understanding of building science and human factors in architecture, engineering and construction". This deep and varied expertise allows him to connect disparate fields and articulate the holistic nature of building science, amplifying Positive Energy's message and making our educational content more impactful.
The podcast encourages a holistic understanding of building performance through several key themes:
Integrating Ethics and Aesthetics: The show’s "Design Matters: Aesthetics, Ethics and Architectural Impact" episode explores the deep convergence of ethics and aesthetics in architectural practice. It challenges the notion that architecture should not "sully itself with social or ecological ills," advocating for design decisions that actively incorporate "carbon accounting, human health, and regenerative practices". This broadens the architect's perspective beyond mere visual appeal to encompass societal and environmental responsibility, thereby redefining the very value proposition of architectural design.
Risk Management in AEC: "Architecture of Risk: Managing Liability & Uncertainty in the AEC" directly addresses the inherent challenges within the industry, including client demands, contract complexities, and proactive project management It presents thoughtful design, careful building, and open communication as the "ultimate de-risking move," providing architects with practical guidance on navigating the complexities of their practice from a robust building science perspective.
Bioclimatic Design and Architectural Influence: "More Influence, More Impact, More Satisfaction" serves as an "invitation to architects to reclaim their power" by deeply understanding bioclimatic design. This involves mapping ambient climate inputs to specific building design elements such as massing, orientation, enclosure systems, and window specifications. This directly relates to how buildings mediate between external climate and human lives, thereby improving thermal comfort and the overall lived experience. Kristof’s philosophy is clear: "Fundamentally, homes should be about human thriving," and the industry already possesses the knowledge to design environments that improve sleep, life expectancy, cognition, and emotional regulation.
Systemic Thinking and Industry Transformation: The podcast frequently expands the "building-as-a-system view to a society-as-a-system view" to identify "leverage points for greater impact". This philosophical approach, particularly articulated in "Next Level Leverage," encourages a broader understanding of how building science can drive systemic change across the entire AEC industry. Kristof Irwin's powerful statement, "The paradigm needs to change. Fundamentally, homes should be about human thriving", encapsulates this transformative vision, urging a shift from a myopic focus on the building lot to a recognition of its role within natural ecosystems.
The podcast also delves into specific technical solutions for critical issues. For Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) and Materials, episodes like "Designer Desiccants, Molecular Filters, and the Prospects of Dehumidification" explore low-energy methods for moisture removal and introduce advanced filtration technologies for molecular pollutants. This offers architects cutting-edge insights into improving IAQ beyond conventional approaches. Discussions in "Tools For a Habitable Future" and "Rethinking The Wood Supply Chain" emphasize the critical importance of material supply chains for both human health and planetary ecosystems.
These episodes link material choices directly to occupant well-being and the "triple bottom line of healthy homes, healthy people, healthy planet," reinforcing the profound connection between material specification and indoor environmental quality.While the provided information does not include explicit testimonials or quantitative listener feedback, the podcast actively seeks audience engagement.
We honestly appreciate listeners who, in our increasingly soundbite world, appreciate the depth, breadth and subtlety of conversations like those of our show and we encourage emails and comments. We want the show to foster a community of engaged professionals and thought leaders around these complex topics. The Building Science Podcast is a virtual "philosophical society" for the AEC industry, serving a purpose far beyond conventional technical education. The podcast's broad, interdisciplinary content, coupled with our in-person Building Science Philosophical Society, work together to influence the mindset of the industry professionals, not just their technical skills. We want the show to be a crucial platform for fostering critical thinking, challenging outdated paradigms, and cultivating a shared, elevated vision for a more ethical, human-centric, and environmentally responsible built environment. By engaging thought leaders from across the industry and delving into the fundamental "why" questions behind the building science nuts-and-bolts, exploring ethical implications, societal impacts, and interdisciplinary connections, we hope to shape the intellectual discourse and professional ethos of the industry.
Positive Energy's Advocacy for a Better Built Environment
Positive Energy's commitment to "Healthy people, healthy planet" extends far beyond the confines of individual projects, manifesting in active advocacy efforts aimed at catalyzing systemic change across the AEC industry. This strategic approach leverages their deep technical expertise to influence broader standards, policies, and collaborative practices.
A Vision for Human and Planetary Thriving
Overarching Strategic Purpose: Positive Energy's vision of "Healthy people, healthy planet" 3 is the ultimate driver of all their education and advocacy efforts. This comprehensive vision dictates their ambition to design buildings that are not only "healthy, comfortable, durable, efficient, resilient, sustainable and regenerative," but also "outstanding architecturally".5 This holistic view defines the scope and ambition of their "big impact" beyond day-to-day projects.
Prioritizing Human Health and Well-being: The firm explicitly centers its work on the belief that "homes should be about human thriving".17 This commitment is evident in their relentless focus on indoor air quality (IAQ) 7, ensuring optimal thermal comfort 11, and meticulously considering the impact of material choices on occupants' health.12 They boldly assert that buildings, when designed correctly, can actively "improve sleep, life expectancy, cognition, and emotional regulation" 17, thereby elevating the very quality of human life.
Driving Environmental Responsibility and Decarbonization: Positive Energy's dedication to moving society "away from fossil fuel based solutions" 2 and their active advocacy for electrification 7 are central to their environmental mission. They consistently emphasize the crucial role of high-performance buildings in "decarbonizing the built environment" and contributing to a "climate-neutral society".23 Their work aligns with global efforts to mitigate climate change and foster a sustainable future.
Philosophical Underpinning: "Design Around People. A Good Building Follows." This philosophy, implicitly and explicitly stated across their platforms 12, encapsulates their integrated approach. It suggests that when design fundamentally prioritizes human well-being and the health of the planet, high-performance outcomes naturally emerge as a consequence. Kristof Irwin's powerful articulation of this expanded systemic thinking serves as a guiding principle: "We cannot put the very systems upon which we provide energy and resources for our homes, which are in natural ecosystems, out of that view. In thermodynamics, for example, you define a boundary, and what we tend to do is define the boundary around the home or the lot. That myopia is inappropriate and damaging".17 This statement urges a shift from a limited, site-specific perspective to a broader, ecological understanding of architectural responsibility.
Speaking Engagements
Positive Energy has been strategically presenting on a range of topics for information-hungry audiences all over North America since 2012. We have long held the ethos that articulating ideas and showing examples from our day-to-day work helps us educate others on first-principles-thinking that is so badly needed in the AEC industry. Architecture firms and builders have become exhausted by product manufacturers lunch-and-learn formats because they are product-centric and don’t connect the dots to a more holistic understanding of how buildings work. Expanding the lens to include adjacent disciplines across the scientific field, reminding folks of building science basics, and showing real world case studies is a powerful antidote.
2025
“Architectural Paradigms and Adaptation” (Keynote Address)
Passive House Northwest Conference, Portland, OR
“Building Science 2.0 - Next Level Systems Thinking” (Keynote Address)
BEC-Iowa Symposium, Des Moines, IA
2024
Expert Panelist
Facades+ Austin, TX
2023
“Finding Next Level Leverage” (Keynote Address)
PhiusCon, Houston, TX
Kristof Irwin, Graham Irwin (Essential Habitat Architecture)
“Make it PHun and Make some PHriends - Market Transformation Through Community”
PhiusCon, Houston, TX
“Introduction to Passive House”
2022
“Development of a Battery Capacity Sizing Tool for Optimal Sizing of Residential-Scale Backup and Microgrid Systems”
ASHRAE Building Performance Analysis Conference, Chicago, IL
Maya Hazarika (Positive Energy Alumnus, Thornton Tomasetti), Kate Bren (Positive Energy Alumnus, Cyclone Energy Group), Charles Upshaw (Alumnus, IdeaSmiths)
“Path to a High-Performance Home”
AIA Austin Design Excellence Conference, Austin, TX
M. Walker, Trey Farmer (Forge Craft Architecture), Josh Leger (Mark Richardson Architecture)
“Science and Storytelling”
International Meeting of The American Society of Agronomy (ASA), Crop Science Society of America (CSSA), and Soil Science Society of America (SSSA)
M. Walker
2021
“The Code Change: Reframing The HVAC Challenge Through The Lens Of Design”
2019
“Storing and Maintaining Sensitive Biological Machines Inside Fluid-Filled Boxes”
ATX Building Performance Conference, Austin, TX
“True Sustainability and Regeneration for the Built Environment”
AIA Austin Design Excellence Conference, Austin, TX
Kristof Irwin, David McFalls, Charles Upshaw
“Five Principles to Delivering Healthy Buildings in Humid Climates”
Gulf Coast Green, Houston, TX
“Building Science Perspectives on Earthen Construction”
Earthen Construction Initiative 2nd Annual Austin, Austin, TX
Expert Panel Moderator
ATX Building Performance Conference, Austin, TX
2018
“Houston, We Have a Problem! Sensible Heat Ratios for Ultra-Low Load Homes Present Challenges for High Efficiency Equipment”
ASHRAE Annual Conference, Houston, TX
Expert Panel Moderator
The Humid Climate Conference, Austin, TX
“Redefining Sustainable Design: Raising the Bar for Performance Expectations of Buildings”
2017
“Mechanical Systems for Health & Comfort in Humid Climates”
AIA Houston Residential Committee Seminar, Houston, TX
“Indoor Health and Comfort in Humid Climates”
“Healthy Homes - Applied Building Science”
“Gas vs Electric - Heating Air & Water for Homes”
Austin Infill Coalition Seminar, Austin, TX
2016
“Learning BS To Avoid The BS
International Builder Show, Orlando, FL
“Building Performance Through Integrated Design & Project Delivery”
Workshop For AIA San Antonio, San Antonio, TX
“Hot Topics In Building Science”
“Building Performance Through Integrated Design & Project Delivery”
AIA Austin Design Excellence Conference, Austin, TX
Kristof Irwin, Ernesto Cragnolino (Alterstudio Architects), Eric Rauser (Rauser Construction)
2015
“Enclosures and Mechanical Systems”
AIA Austin Design Excellence Conference, Austin, TX
Kristof Irwin, Matt Risinger (Risinger Build)
2014
"Beyond Mini-Splits: An Introduction to Variable Capacity Equipment for Whole-House HVAC Designs"
RESNET Conference, Atlanta, GA
Kristof Irwin, Allison Bailes (Energy Vanguard)
"Mobile Data Collection and Ratings: Touch and Go"
RESNET Conference, Atlanta, GA
Kristof Irwin, Allison Bailes (Energy Vanguard)
“HVAC for Hot Humid Climates”
AIA Austin Design Excellence Conference, Austin, TX
Kristof Irwin
“HVAC & Moisture Control for Hot Humid Climates”
Austin Energy Green Building Program Seminar, Austin, TX
“HVAC & Advanced Commissioning”
Austin Energy Green Building Program Seminar, Austin, TX
“Phius+ Standard Introduction”
Private Seminars For 10 Different Firms, Austin, TX
2013
“Hierarchy, Scale & Relation in Building Science: Focus on Moisture & Building Materials”
2012
“Comparison of Testing Protocols & Certification Standards: RESNET & PHIUS+”
University Guest Lectures
It is imperative for architecture and engineering schools to engage with building science and engineering practitioners to help bridge the gap between theoretical/academic design and practical, real-world high-performance design and construction. We have been engaged with various academic institutions since 2012, offering a range of lecture topics to support undergraduate and graduate students break through pedagogical bottlenecks.
“Earthen Architecture: A Brief Journey Through History, Culture, & Technics”
“Building Science: Framing The Built World Through A Systems-Thinking Lens”
“On Cooling & How It Doesn’t Actually Exist”
“Breaking the Norm: Making Passive House Possible in Emerging Markets”
Climate Change: A Global Affair, Panel Discussion
“The Building Envelope, Heating, Cooling, and The Refrigeration Cycle”
“High Performance Mechanical Systems”
“Systems Thinking & The Built Environment”
"Air as Material"
“Psychrometrics & Engineering Controls”
“Ventilation Methods”
Organization & Committee Memberships
Positive Energy is actively redefining the architect's role from primarily aesthetic and functional design to a critical public health and environmental stewardship role. By emphasizing the profound impact of design decisions on occupant health (IAQ, sleep, cognition) and planetary health (decarbonization, responsible material sourcing, regenerative practices), they are advocating for a shift towards truly regenerative design. This positions architects as "guardians of public well-being," implicitly urging them to embrace a more comprehensive, ethical, and impactful practice that contributes positively to both human and natural systems, moving beyond merely minimizing harm to actively creating benefit.
One powerful way to infuse these ideas into practice is to advocate for them within organizations of influence. Here are a few examples of Positive Energy team members and their active engagement in the industry:
Kristof Irwin
Voting Member ASHRAE TC-2.1 (Physiology & Human Environment)
Voting Member ASHRAE SSPC-55 (Thermal Comfort)
Voting Member ASHRAE SSPC-62.2 (Ventilation/IAQ)
Former Member RESNET ANSI Standards Development Committee
Former Chair AIA Austin's Building Enclosure Council
Board Member Phius Alliance Austin
Co-founder of The Humid Climate Conference
M. Walker
Regional Representative Phius Alliance (South Region)
Board Member Phius Alliance Austin
Co-founder of The Humid Climate Conference
Former Chair Austin AIA’s Committee On The Environment
Former Advisory Committee Member City of Austin Mayoral Office
Former Member Texas Society of Architects Sustainability Task Force
Loren Bordelon
Former Board Member Phius Alliance Austin
Eric Griffin
Former President Phius Alliance Austin
Board Member Phius Alliance Austin
Co-founder of The Humid Climate Conference
Cameron Caja
Regional Representative Phius Alliance (Central Region)
Planning Committee Member for The Humid Climate Conference
Co-Organizer BS + Beer Northwest Arkansas
Advisor for Habitat for Humanity of Northwest Arkansas
Notable Industry Publications
Positive Energy personnel are prolific contributors to various publications, both through our internal blog and external industry journals, endeavoring to provide thought leadership in building science and MEP engineering.
The Fine Homebuilding Magazine’s “Ask The Experts” Segment
Journal of Light Construction (JLC Online)
Kristof Irwin
Journal of Light Construction (JLC Online)
Journal of Light Construction (JLC Online)
"People, Planet, Design: A Practical Guide to Realizing Architecture's Potential" by Corey Squire (Positive Energy Alumnus, Bora Architects)
Journal of Light Construction (JLC Online)
Journal of Light Construction (JLC Online)
“Changing The Conversation: Passive House In Humid Climates”
Passive House Accelerator
Passive House Accelerator
M. Walker, Kate Bren (Positive Energy Alumnus, Cyclone Energy Group)
Notable External Media Appearances
We live in a time where media reach is more fractured and potent than ever before. Positive Energy has endeavored to stay plugged into both traditional print media, as well as various social media channels to support education on first principles thinking that is so badly needed in the AEC industry.
Green & Healthy Maine HOMES Article
Alta Journal Article
The Fine Homebuilding Magazine Article
The BS + Beer Show
The Edifice Complex Podcast Interview
"Human Psychology and the Built Environment with Kristof Irwin"
Steven Winter Associates "Buildings and Beyond" Podcast
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
“Ultra Efficient & Comfortable HVAC - Mitsubishi VRF System Tour”
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
“Building Science Training - Advanced HVAC & Mistibushi’s VRF”
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
“How to Design and Install a Good HVAC System for the South”
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
Matt Risinger’s The Build Podcast Interview
Matt Risinger’s The Build Show Interview
Empowering Architects for Enduring Impact
Our comprehensive approach to MEP engineering and building science consulting is deeply rooted in a strategic vision that extends far beyond individual project delivery. Our commitment to the idea of "Healthy people, healthy planet” is unwavering. It is not just a statement, but a guiding principle that permeates our extensive education and advocacy efforts. Through the firm’s Building Science Blog and The Building Science Podcast, we aim to actively cultivate knowledge everywhere we can, demystifying complex technical concepts like indoor air quality and intricate wall assembly dynamics for architects and the broader industry. This accessible knowledge transfer empowers architects to confidently integrate advanced building science into their designs, mitigating risks and ensuring the long-term performance and durability of their projects.
Beyond education, Positive Energy endeavors to affect change through robust advocacy efforts. This includes promoting the widespread adoption of high-performance standards like Phius and actively contributing to industry standards development through roles on influential committees. Our strategic partnerships with architects, contractors, and owners all hinge on our deep belief that true industry transformation is a collaborative endeavor, where multidisciplinary expertise converges to elevate the lived experience of architecture.
Our firm’s philosophy, encapsulated by the motto "Design Around People. A Good Building Follows", challenges the industry to undertake a profound reorientation of architectural priorities. It challenges the industry to move beyond a limited focus on aesthetics and initial cost, urging a deeper consideration of how buildings profoundly impact human health, comfort, and the planetary ecosystem. By consistently articulating this expanded view and helping others understand its many intricacies, we hope to empower architects to embrace their critical and expanding role as critical guardians of public well-being and advocates for human thriving.
In essence, we hope that our integrated strategy of education and advocacy acts as a force for systemic change within the AEC industry. We are not simply providing engineering services; we are trying to shape the future of the built environment by equipping architects with the confidence and knowledge to design buildings that are not only aesthetically compelling but also profoundly healthy, durable, energy-efficient, resilient, and ultimately, regenerative. This holistic approach ensures that every project contributes to a healthier future for both people and the planet.
The Electrification of Domestic Hot Water: Heat Pump Water Heater Adoption in U.S. Residential Construction
The residential construction market in the United States is undergoing a fundamental transformation, driven by the dual imperatives of grid modernization and enhanced indoor air quality. Central to this shift is the increasing adoption of Heat Pump Water Heaters (HPWHs). These highly efficient, all-electric systems represent a critical technology for decarbonizing buildings and fostering a more resilient energy infrastructure. While current national adoption rates remain modest, market dynamics indicate a significant acceleration, propelled by robust governmental policies, escalating consumer interest in new construction, and continuous technological advancements.
The residential construction market in the United States is undergoing a fundamental transformation, driven by the dual imperatives of grid modernization and enhanced indoor air quality. Central to this shift is the increasing adoption of Heat Pump Water Heaters (HPWHs). These highly efficient, all-electric systems represent a critical technology for decarbonizing buildings and fostering a more resilient energy infrastructure. While current national adoption rates remain modest, market dynamics indicate a significant acceleration, propelled by robust governmental policies, escalating consumer interest in new construction, and continuous technological advancements.
HPWHs function by moving heat rather than generating it, offering substantial energy savings and eliminating on-site combustion byproducts that compromise indoor air quality. The evolution of HPWH technology, including integrated, split, and emerging 120V plug-in models, directly addresses historical installation complexities and upfront costs. However, widespread adoption faces persistent barriers, notably the high initial investment and the challenge of emergency replacements, which often favor conventional, less efficient alternatives. Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach, emphasizing streamlined incentives, comprehensive workforce development, and enhanced consumer education to fully realize the environmental, economic, and health benefits of residential electrification.
The Electrification Imperative in Residential Construction
The transition to all-electric homes, particularly through the integration of technologies like Heat Pump Water Heaters (HPWHs), is emerging as a strategic imperative across the United States. This profound shift is driven by a two-fold objective: adapting to a rapidly evolving energy grid and significantly improving indoor air quality by eliminating combustion from residential spaces. HPWHs are increasingly recognized as a vital technology for the clean energy transition and for substantially lowering building emissions, primarily due to their ability to efficiently provide heating by replacing the use of onsite fossil fuels.[1] They are progressively acknowledged as a critical technology for heat decarbonization efforts.[2]
The broader transformation of the electric grid, which HPWH adoption directly supports, is propelled by several interconnected factors. These include a rising demand for electricity, the increasing economic and technical viability of diverse energy generation sources, the rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs), and ambitious state-level clean energy and decarbonization policy goals.[3] This context positions HPWH adoption as a fundamental component of a larger national energy strategy. The widespread adoption of HPWHs signifies more than just a technological upgrade; it represents a fundamental societal shift in how homes interact with the energy ecosystem. This transformation is deeply rooted in a collective commitment to decarbonization and grid modernization, driven by both environmental imperatives and significant economic opportunities. Architects designing for HPWHs are not merely specifying an appliance but are actively contributing to a national infrastructure and public health transformation.
At their core, Heat Pump Water Heaters operate on a principle distinct from conventional water heating methods. Unlike traditional water heaters that generate heat directly through the combustion of fossil fuels (e.g., natural gas) or through electric resistance, HPWHs utilize electricity to move existing thermal energy from one location to another. This process involves extracting heat from the surrounding air and transferring it to the water within a storage tank.[4] This "refrigerator in reverse" mechanism makes them remarkably energy efficient, typically two to three times more efficient than conventional electric resistance water heaters.[4] This superior efficiency directly translates into significant annual energy bill savings for homeowners, making them an economically attractive option over the appliance's lifespan.[4]
Current State of Heat Pump Water Heater Adoption in the U.S.
Market Dynamics and Growth Trajectory
The U.S. residential heat pump water heater market, while still maturing, exhibits a clear growth trajectory. In 2022, the market size was valued at USD 468.22 million and is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.90% during the forecast period.2 Globally, the HPWH market reached $1.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to expand to $2.22 billion by 2033, reflecting a steady growth rate of 3%.[16] Historical data indicates a significant acceleration, with U.S. sales of HPWHs doubling from 2016 to 2020.[2] More recently, 2023 saw over 190,000 HPWHs shipped in the U.S., marking a substantial 35% increase over 2022 and representing the largest annual increase ever recorded for this technology.[17]
Despite these impressive growth rates, the overall national adoption rate of HPWHs remains relatively low, estimated at approximately 3% of all households.[18] In 2023, HPWHs constituted about 4% of residential electric water heater sales.1 Further data suggests that currently, only 1% of homes in the U.S. utilize electric heat pump water heaters for their hot water needs.[20] This presents a critical distinction between the low overall national adoption rate of HPWHs and the higher reported figures for consumer preference and integration in new construction. While the installed base is small, there are strong signals of growing consumer interest and integration in new construction. More than 40% of residential consumers are now reportedly opting for HPWHs over conventional systems, a choice driven by their energy-saving capabilities and reduced carbon emissions.[16] Furthermore, a significant trend in new residential construction indicates that over 45% of new builds are integrating heat pump systems.16 North America, particularly eco-conscious states, accounts for over 45% of residential units adopting heat pump technologies, with the U.S. and Canada experiencing over 38% growth in residential installations.[16] The higher figures for "consumers opting for HPWHs" and "new builds integrating heat pump systems" likely refer to new purchases or intent for water heaters, or the broader category of heat pump systems (including space heating) in new construction, rather than representing the total installed base of HPWHs. This nuance is crucial for understanding the true pace and potential of market transformation, indicating that while the momentum is strong, the existing housing stock still presents a vast opportunity for retrofits.
The American water heater market is largely dominated by three key manufacturers: Rheem, A. O. Smith, and Bradford White.[21] Rheem currently holds the largest HPWH market share in the U.S., benefiting from strategic partnerships with major retailers and homebuilders.[21] Bradford White ranks as the third-largest HPWH market player, with manufacturing operations located in Middleville, Michigan.2 Other notable U.S. manufacturers contributing to the residential HPWH market include Vaughn and Nyle Systems.[2]
Looking ahead, ambitious sales targets underscore the projected market shift. Rewiring America sets a target for HPWHs to comprise 100% of water heater sales by 2040, which would lead to a complete turnover of fossil fuel-based water heating stock by 2050.[20] To achieve this aggressive goal, HPWH sales need to increase more than tenfold over the business-as-usual scenario by 2032.[20] The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) supports this trajectory, projecting that its 2024 efficiency standards, with compliance starting in 2029, will result in over 50% of newly manufactured electric storage water heaters utilizing heat pump technology, a substantial leap from the current 3%.[13] These ambitious sales targets and projected rapid market shifts for HPWHs are not organic growth projections alone; they are directly linked to, and in many cases, mandated by recent and upcoming policy changes. The DOE's efficiency standards and the Inflation Reduction Act are creating a powerful regulatory and financial tailwind that will fundamentally transform the HPWH market, pushing it towards dominance.
Policy and Incentives Catalyzing Adoption
Governmental policies and financial incentives are playing a pivotal role in accelerating HPWH adoption. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) finalized new energy-efficiency standards for residential water heaters on April 30, 2024. These standards are projected to save American households approximately $7.6 billion per year on energy and water bills and reduce 332 million metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions over 30 years of shipments.[13] This initiative represents the largest energy savings action by the Appliance Standards Program in history.13 Compliance with these new standards will be required starting in 2029, and they are expected to result in over 50% of newly manufactured electric storage water heaters utilizing heat pump technology, a substantial increase from the current 3%.[13] These standards are designed to more than double the efficiency of electric storage water heaters.[13]
Further catalyzing adoption is the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which significantly expands the accessibility and affordability of heat pump water heaters through various tax credits and rebates.[13] Homeowners can claim a federal tax credit valued at up to 30% of the HPWH project cost, capped at $2,000 per year.[12] This credit has no lifetime limit, enabling homeowners to claim it annually for eligible improvements until 2033.[23] To qualify for these tax credits, HPWHs must be ENERGY STAR certified.[24] In addition to tax credits, the Home Electrification and Appliance Rebate program, also under the IRA, offers up to $1,750 for ENERGY STAR-certified electric HPWHs.22 For low- to moderate-income (LMI) households, these rebates can be even more substantial, covering 50-100% of the HPWH costs, up to $1,750.[26] Eligibility for these rebates typically includes new construction, replacement of a non-electric water heater, or a first-time purchase of a HPWH for an existing home.[27]
Beyond federal initiatives, state and local programs, along with utilities, are actively managing their own energy efficiency and appliance upgrade rebate programs.[27] Examples include instant rebates offered in Massachusetts ($750-$1,500) and California ($500-$900).26 Utilities like TVA EnergyRight also provide residential rebates for qualifying HPWH systems.[28] Many programs are actively exploring time-of-use pricing structures to further incentivize HPWH adoption and maximize the benefits of off-peak energy consumption.[29] The comprehensive suite of government policies and incentives for HPWHs extends beyond purely environmental objectives; it acts as a significant economic stimulus for the burgeoning HPWH market. This stimulus drives manufacturing investment, fosters job creation across the supply chain [3], and accelerates consumer adoption. Furthermore, the tiered structure of IRA rebates, especially for low- and moderate-income households, directly addresses energy equity, ensuring that the benefits of clean energy technologies are accessible across all socioeconomic strata. The simultaneous implementation of stringent efficiency standards (a "push" from the supply side) and generous consumer incentives (a "pull" from the demand side) reveals a sophisticated and comprehensive market transformation strategy. This dual approach is designed to overcome the inherent inertia and initial cost barriers associated with new technology adoption, accelerating the shift away from conventional water heaters towards HPWHs across the entire market.
Table 1: U.S. Residential HPWH Market Overview (2022-2033)
This table provides a concise, quantitative overview of the HPWH market's current scale and its projected trajectory. For architects, this context is essential to understand the industry's momentum and the increasing relevance of HPWHs in residential design, moving beyond anecdotal evidence to present a data-driven overview. By outlining current adoption rates alongside future projections and policy impacts, the table helps architects make informed decisions about specifying HPWHs in their projects, highlighting that while current penetration is low, the market is on a steep growth curve, indicating that HPWHs are becoming a standard rather than a niche technology. The inclusion of CAGR and specific targets from authoritative sources visually reinforces the strong trend towards electrification in water heating, which can be invaluable for architects when advocating for HPWH integration to clients, demonstrating alignment with broader industry and policy directions.
Dual Benefits of HPWH Electrification: Grid Resilience and Indoor Air Quality
The widespread adoption of Heat Pump Water Heaters offers profound benefits that extend beyond individual household energy savings, directly addressing critical challenges in energy infrastructure and public health.
Playing A Role In Grid Stability and Efficiency
Heat pump water heaters are uniquely positioned to act as flexible loads within the electrical grid due to their inherent thermal storage capabilities.[31] The large storage tank allows them to optimize the timing of electricity consumption without compromising hot water delivery service to occupants.31 This ability to store thermal energy enables HPWHs to reduce strain on the electric grid during peak electricity demand periods.[8] The widespread adoption of grid-interactive HPWHs represents a significant, decentralized infrastructure investment that directly enhances overall grid reliability and resilience. For architects, understanding this benefit is paramount, as it positions their projects not merely as individual energy-efficient structures, but as active contributors to broader national energy security and sustainability goals. By integrating HPWHs, buildings become dynamic participants in grid management, offering a scalable solution for managing increasing electricity demands and integrating renewables.
HPWHs can actively participate in utility demand management programs.[8] This allows for strategic load shifting, where electricity consumption is moved from high-price or peak demand periods to low-price or off-peak times.[31] Strategies employed include pre-heating water when electricity is abundant and cheap, adjusting temperature setpoints, or temporarily preventing the use of less efficient electric resistance heating elements during peak events.[8] HPWHs can start or stop heating quickly, making them highly responsive to variable grid signals.[31] This demand flexibility is crucial for integrating intermittent renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power, into the grid. By shifting demand to match periods of high renewable generation, HPWHs help balance supply and demand, improving grid stability and maximizing the utilization of clean energy.[31] They can effectively absorb excess renewable generation, preventing curtailment and enhancing grid efficiency.[48]
HPWHs are a key component of Grid-interactive Efficient Buildings (GEBs), which integrate energy efficiency, demand flexibility, and smart technologies to serve the grid as distributed energy resources (DERs).[47] National adoption of GEBs is projected to yield $100-200 billion in U.S. electric power system cost savings and contribute to a 6% annual reduction in CO2 emissions by 2030.[51] The concept of "transactive energy" further refines this, envisioning a system where DERs like HPWHs are coordinated with smart loads through dynamic, automated transactions. This approach has the potential to reduce daily load swings by 20-44% and generate billions in annual economic benefits by optimizing grid operations.[49] The transformation positions HPWHs as not just energy-efficient appliances, but as integral parts of a future-proof energy infrastructure, contributing to both local building performance and national energy security.
Improving Indoor Air Quality and Home Health
A direct and immediate benefit of electrifying water heating with HPWHs is the complete elimination of on-site combustion within the home.[9] This removes a major source of toxic combustion exhaust gases and associated pollutants that are typically generated by natural gas, propane, or oil-fired water heaters.9 Furthermore, by removing a fuel-fired appliance, HPWHs also eliminate the inherent risk of fire or explosion that can be caused by gas leaks or combustion malfunctions.[15]
Traditional fossil fuel-burning appliances, including water heaters, furnaces, and stoves, produce a range of harmful byproducts when fuel is incompletely burned.[56] It’s a proper panoply These include Carbon Monoxide (CO), an odorless, colorless, and highly toxic gas that reduces the blood's ability to carry oxygen. Acute exposure can cause fatigue, headaches, nausea, dizziness, and impaired vision, and at high levels, it can lead to loss of consciousness and death.[56] Another significant byproduct is Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), a respiratory irritant that can cause airway inflammation, coughing, wheezing, and increased asthma attacks.[56] Scientific studies have consistently shown higher NO2 concentrations in homes with gas stoves, and exposure is linked to increased risk of asthma in children and more severe symptoms for those with respiratory illnesses.[59] Particulate Matter (PM, PM2.5), microscopic solids and liquids, can irritate eyes, nose, and throat, lodge in the lungs causing irritation or damage, lead to inflammation, heart problems, and increase the risk of premature death. Some particles may contain cancer-causing substances.[56] Other pollutants include carbon dioxide (CO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), various hydrocarbons (e.g., benzene), and aldehydes.[56]
While furnaces and water heaters are typically vented to the outside, their emissions still contribute to outdoor air pollution.[57] Unvented combustion devices, such as gas stoves or unvented heaters, pose even higher risks by releasing pollutants directly into the living space.[59] ASHRAE's position emphasizes source control and adequate ventilation as key means to dilute indoor contaminants and improve indoor air quality.[62] By eliminating the combustion source entirely, HPWHs offer a proactive approach to mitigating these indoor air quality concerns. Electrifying water heating with HPWHs directly removes a significant and consistent source of harmful indoor air pollutants, leading to tangible and measurable health benefits for building occupants. This is particularly impactful for vulnerable populations such as children, older adults, and individuals with pre-existing respiratory conditions. This shifts the conversation from abstract "environmental benefits" to concrete "health and safety" improvements directly within the home, a powerful consideration for architects designing healthy living spaces.
Accelerating Broad Scale Adoption By Identifying Opportunities and Challenges
Key Advantages and Drivers
The momentum behind Heat Pump Water Heater adoption is driven by a confluence of compelling advantages and supportive market forces. Foremost among these are the significant energy and cost savings. HPWHs are remarkably energy-efficient, typically 3 to 4 times more efficient than conventional electric resistance water heaters.[10] This efficiency translates into substantial annual energy bill savings for homeowners, ranging from $80 to $550 per year, and over $5,600 in savings over the product's lifetime.[10]
Beyond economic benefits, HPWHs offer profound environmental advantages and a reduced carbon footprint. By consuming significantly less energy and operating on electricity (which is increasingly decarbonized through renewable sources), HPWHs dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[10] Replacing a single gas water heater with a HPWH can save over 2,000 lbs of CO2 emissions annually, an amount equivalent to growing more than 17 trees for 10 years.[64]
The technology itself is maturing rapidly. While HPWHs have existed since the 1970s, their mainstream adoption has primarily occurred in the past decade, indicating a shift from niche to proven technology.[38] They are now considered a reliable solution [10] and benefit from continuous innovation in efficiency, sound reduction, and installer-friendly features, such as top water connections and duct-ready designs.[7]
Finally, increasing governmental and utility support acts as a powerful accelerant. Strong policy drivers, including the DOE's finalized efficiency standards [13] and the comprehensive incentives provided by the Inflation Reduction Act [12], are significantly accelerating market growth. Utilities are also actively developing and implementing programs, including rebates and online platforms, to streamline HPWH adoption and educate consumers.[29]
Persistent Barriers and Areas for Improvement
Despite the clear advantages, several persistent barriers impede broad-scale HPWH adoption in the U.S. residential market.
The most significant barrier remains the high upfront and installation costs.[18] HPWHs frequently retail for at least $2,000, which is substantially higher than low-to-medium efficiency gas or electric resistance water heaters, often priced at $600 or less.[43] The installation cost often exceeds the equipment price itself; for contractor installations, the average cost was roughly $2,700, contributing to an overall average project cost of $3,200-$4,700.[43] This high upfront cost is critically exacerbated by the fact that approximately 85-90% of water heater replacements occur during emergency situations.[19] In these urgent, unplanned scenarios, homeowners are highly inclined to opt for quick, familiar, and seemingly cheaper conventional solutions, bypassing HPWHs despite their long-term energy and cost savings. This creates a cycle where the immediate need for replacement, driven by appliance failure, actively impedes the adoption of more efficient and environmentally beneficial technology.
Installation complexities also pose a significant hurdle. HPWHs are generally taller and heavier than conventional units [36], requiring significant air space (450-1000 cubic feet) for efficient operation.6 Replacing a gas water heater with a HPWH often necessitates a new 240V circuit or an electrical panel upgrade, adding to the cost and complexity.[14] Furthermore, HPWHs produce condensate that requires proper drainage, which may involve installing a new drain line or a condensate pump if a gravity drain is not readily available.[9] The cool, dehumidified air exhausted by HPWHs can lower the ambient temperature of the installation space, potentially causing discomfort or increasing heating loads in conditioned areas. If not properly vented or managed, this can lead to moisture damage and mold growth on cold surfaces.[4]
A critical bottleneck in the market transformation is workforce development and availability. A significant barrier is the skilled labor shortage in the HVAC and plumbing trades.[71] Workforce challenges, exacerbated by factors like the COVID-19 pandemic, have led to retention issues and staffing problems, complicating HPWH installations.[70] The insufficient supply of adequately trained and experienced HPWH installers directly translates into higher installation costs, slower project completion times, and a greater risk of improper installations that can undermine system performance and consumer satisfaction.[43] This workforce gap limits the ability to scale HPWH adoption despite growing demand and policy support. There is a clear need for clearer guidance for installers on the post-installation startup process, including diagnostic run times and electric element behavior.[70]
Finally, consumer awareness, while growing, remains low in many areas, with only 29% of households in some regions familiar with heat pump technology.[16] This lack of understanding of the long-term cost savings and environmental benefits contributes to a general installer and consumer bias towards conventional models.[33]
What Needs To Happen Next
The U.S. residential construction market is at a pivotal juncture, with Heat Pump Water Heaters emerging as a cornerstone of the electrification movement. The transition to HPWHs is not merely an appliance upgrade; it represents a fundamental societal shift towards a more resilient, decarbonized energy grid and healthier indoor environments. The technology is rapidly advancing, with innovations addressing efficiency, sound, cold-climate performance, and installation ease, including the critical development of 120V plug-in models that simplify retrofits. Furthermore, comprehensive policy support from the DOE and the Inflation Reduction Act is creating a powerful market transformation strategy, utilizing both regulatory mandates and financial incentives to accelerate adoption.
However, significant barriers persist, primarily the high upfront and installation costs, which are exacerbated by the prevalence of emergency replacements. The current shortage of skilled installers further compounds these cost and complexity issues, creating a bottleneck that hinders widespread deployment. To fully realize the profound environmental, economic, and health benefits of HPWHs, a concerted effort is required across all stakeholders.
For architects, the implications are clear: designing with HPWHs is no longer a niche consideration but a strategic imperative that contributes to a building's holistic performance and broader societal goals. To accelerate broad-scale adoption, the following recommendations are critical, even if not all are in each of our sphere of influence.
Streamline and Publicize Incentives: While federal incentives exist, their complexity and the emergency nature of most water heater replacements often prevent homeowners from leveraging them. Utilities and government agencies should collaborate to offer more point-of-sale rebates and direct-to-contractor incentives, simplifying the financial process at the moment of purchase. Clear, accessible communication about available tax credits and rebates is paramount.
Invest in Workforce Development: Addressing the skilled labor shortage is crucial. This requires increased funding and support for training programs specifically focused on HPWH installation, maintenance, and troubleshooting for plumbers and HVAC technicians. Programs should include practical, hands-on training to build installer confidence and efficiency, ultimately reducing labor costs and installation times. Exploring alternative licensing pathways for HPWH installers, separate from full plumbing licenses, could also expand the workforce, particularly in rural areas.
Enhance Consumer and Contractor Education: Despite growing interest, a significant portion of the population remains unaware of HPWH benefits or misinformed about installation requirements. Targeted educational campaigns, leveraging trusted sources like building science organizations and MEP firms, should highlight the long-term energy savings, improved indoor air quality, and grid benefits. For contractors, clearer guidance on installation best practices, particularly regarding air volume, venting, and condensate management, is essential to prevent performance issues and ensure customer satisfaction.
Promote "Retrofit-Ready" Solutions: The emergence of 120V plug-in HPWHs is a game-changer for the existing housing stock. Policy and incentive programs should specifically promote these "drop-in" solutions to address the electrical panel constraints common in older homes, making the transition from fossil fuels more accessible and affordable during emergency replacements.
Integrate HPWHs into Holistic Building Design: Architects should approach HPWH specification not as an isolated component, but as an integral part of a building's overall energy and environmental strategy. This includes designing spaces with adequate air volume and proper ventilation for optimal HPWH performance, considering the unit's sound profile relative to living areas, and planning for grid-interactive capabilities to maximize demand response benefits. Collaboration with MEP engineers and building science consultants from the earliest design phases can ensure seamless integration and optimized performance.
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U.S. Heat Pump Water Heater Market Size | Share Report, 2030 - Fortune Business Insights, accessed May 22, 2025, https://www.fortunebusinessinsights.com/u-s-heat-pump-water-heater-market-108864
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What Have We Learned About Air Conditioning & The Coronavirus
In an effort to broadly provide resources to our clientele and audience, we’ve written articles on the topics of health precautions for construction job sites and designing for healthy environments while reducing pathogen spread. We’ve released podcast episodes on the impact of ventilation and filtration on virus transmission. But now it’s time to talk about a serious elephant in the room as it pertains to coronavirus spread - air conditioning.
by Kristof Irwin and M. Walker
There’s an unprecedented unifying force in the world today and it’s the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. If you’ve been paying attention to the news at all lately, you’ve likely been inundated with articles, news and facts (both real and alternative) about COVID. Young or old, rich or poor, we are all in this together. The virus has intersected with everyone’s daily life in myriad, unexpected ways and continues to do so. Never before in the history of our company have we heard from so many existing clients, potential new clients, and podcast listeners telling their pandemic stories, expressing concerns about their indoor air quality, and asking what they can do to create healthier home and office environments.
In an effort to broadly provide resources to our clientele and audience, we’ve written articles on the topics of health precautions for construction job sites and designing for healthy environments while reducing pathogen spread. We’ve released podcast episodes on the impact of ventilation and filtration on virus transmission. But now it’s time to talk about a serious elephant in the room as it pertains to coronavirus spread - air conditioning.
Those two words appear together so commonly that we scarcely think about them. Air is a relatively simple concept, but conditioning is worth exploring. Conditioning means to condition something for a purpose. You condition leather to make shoes, you condition limestone to make Portland cement. When it comes to air, you condition it for human occupancy. Conditioning is far involved more than simply cooling, it includes humidity control, ventilation, and filtration.
Setting The Stage - The Starbucks Case
Recently, we came across an eye opening case study in South Korea that took place at the beginning of August (note the link is to a Korean site, but Google Chrome’s automatic translation tool works quite well and is, as far as we can tell, accurate). The situation presented in the Starbucks case illustrates the interdependent relationship of air conditioning systems and protective masks with the spread and prevention of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The basics of the situation are straight forward enough - 27 people in a 2 level Starbucks in Paju, South Korea tested positive for COVID-19 after 1 unknowingly infected patient visited the store and stayed for a couple of hours. However, each of the workers on shift during this time all tested negative.
For context, South Korea is not under stay-at-home-orders, as much of the US and other countries are, so cafes, restaurants, and stores are all open, and people can eat or drink inside. Like much of the southern United States, South Korea is also steaming hot and humid in the summers, so air conditioners are always on during this time of the year. Also like the U.S., it is common in South Korea to see minimal levels of effective filtration and ventilation in public spaces (although the mileage varies greatly from place-to-place and building-to-building).
Two things immediately stood out in the story that will lead us to our discussion on air conditioning:
The employees, who tested negative, were wearing protective KF94* masks for the duration of the infected person’s stay at the coffee shop, while the infected visitors either did not wear them or removed them at some point.
There are notable differences in the space conditioning equipment between the 1st floor, where the employees were working, and the 2nd floor, where the majority of infections occurred.
*Quick side note to clarify a term: if you’re unfamiliar with KF94 masks, or Korea Filter masks, don’t worry. Essentially, they’re a Korean made version of their American counterpart, the N95 mask, with a few minor differences in performance and testing protocols. They look similar, and they filter a nearly identical percentage of particles—95% versus 94%. See the chart below from 3M for more specifics regarding the differences between these two types of mask or check out this link to learn more about other masks and their function.
So based on the data we have at hand in the Starbucks case, backed by the growing body of evidence suggesting masks’ effectiveness at preventing transmission, we can reasonably infer that the masks were indeed effective in protecting the employees from infection. But what exactly happened with the rest of the store? How is it that 1 infected individual was able to transmit the virus to 27 other people in just a 2 hour period? Let’s take a look at some of the highlights from the Insight article (translated from Korean, of course) and use their reporting as a launching pad to look more critically at the science behind virus spread inside buildings:
“A woman in her 30s stayed at the store on the second floor [of the starbucks] for about two hours…”
“On the second floor, where six ceiling air conditioners were distributed… infection was bound to spread quickly.
Surprisingly, the four employees who worked inside Starbucks were fine. [They] went to the second floor from time to time, but they wore KF94 masks throughout the working hours.”
The story was eventually picked up by Bloomberg, who reported that the incident illustrates a lot about both the effectiveness of masks and the role of air conditioning in the spread of the disease.
“The Starbucks case is one of “the most important opportunities to study risk factors among a more or less controlled cohort of people,” said Arnold Bosman, director at Transmissible BV, a Netherlands-based developer of training materials for outbreak control. “This Starbucks event will be a very valuable training exercise for future generations of epidemiologists.”
Indeed, this scenario is an important case study for researchers across the scientific community to examine how pollutants and pathogens can be spread in indoor environments. And as far as Positive Energy is interested in this unfortunate case study, we want to examine the action of the building systems and their contribution to poor health outcomes. Like doctors, professional engineers need to at minimum “do no harm,” although this minimum is not a sufficient standard of care given how easily it can bias expectations toward cost-only-optimized-solutions. When we identify what doesn’t work, it informs and refines our understanding of design strategies to help keep our clients comfortable, safe and healthy indoors.
What Does The Starbucks Case Teach Us?
The Starbucks case seems to affirm a growing body of scientific research on the effectiveness of masks at preventing transmission, but the scenario also begs our core question - how does air conditioning impact transmission? The answer is related to the reasons why masks are beneficial. Both are operating to either move or prevent the movement of air. In the case of air conditioning systems the air they move and mix is a potential vector for spreading SARS-CoV-2 around a building and dispersing it into the volume of indoor air. Masks prevent this potentially virus-mixed air from entering our lungs. Again, air is the common link. A solution of solid or liquid particles suspended in air is an air-solution, or aero-solution, now commonly referred to as an aerosol. The important aspect of particulate or liquid matter in an aerosol is that it is a solution, this means the solid or liquid does not readily fall out, it stays suspended in the air for a long time, hours to weeks. The fact that the virus can be carried via aerosolization shapes how we understand and deal with it.
A recent NYT Opinion Column by Dr. Linsey C. Marr, an engineering professor at Virginia Tech, articulates this well:
“As we cough and sneeze, talk or just breathe, we naturally release droplets (small particles of fluid) and aerosols (smaller particles of fluid) into the air. In a peer-reviewed study published in Scientific Reports on Wednesday, researchers at the University of Nebraska Medical Center found that aerosols collected in the hospital rooms of Covid-19 patients contained the coronavirus. This confirms the results of a study from late May (not peer-reviewed) in which Covid-19 patients were found to release SARS-CoV-2 simply by exhaling — without coughing or even talking. The authors of that study said the finding implied that airborne transmission “plays a major role” in spreading the virus.”
Given that the virus is airborne, it makes sense to employ our knowledge of the behavior and flow of air in indoor spaces (or better yet, use modeling tools to do so), but that is not as simple as it may seem. From a recent study on droplet behavior:
“The dynamics of virus transmission is not well understood, with one challenge being the complicated fluid and flow characteristics involved in the fate and transport of virus, including source dynamics (e.g., exhale velocity and temperature, droplet sizes, virus load, and droplet–virus correlations), ambient conditions (e.g., mean and turbulent flows, temperature, and humidity), and virus dynamics (e.g., virus viability and infectious rate) (e.g., Lindsley et al., 2015; Feng et al., 2020; Dbouk and Drikakis, 2020a; and Mittal et al., 2020). Understanding the fundamental fluid dynamics of expiratory virus-laden droplets is critical to the prediction of the transport and fate of droplets and associated potential threats of infectious disease transmission and will provide quantitative guidance for making a public health policy for disease mitigation, e.g., decisions on social distancing and face covering in various indoor and outdoor environments (Dbouk and Drikakis, 2020b; Verma et al., 2020).”
So, given these facts, just how dangerous can air conditioners really be? As you might expect, it highly depends on how well designed and installed those systems are. Air conditioners are not themselves inherently problematic, but left to the devices of traditional industry practices, they can be disastrous for human health.
We can safely assume that many buildings are not employing robust filtration or ventilation strategies, which are both known to be effective in mitigating airborne particulates on which the SARS-CoV-2 virus is carried. If you have not yet listened to our recent podcast episode on this topic with Dr. Ty Newell, PhD, P.E., it is a true education on the matter. Conditioned spaces create unique hygrothermal conditions and the behavior of pollutants in a given space is largely determined by its conditioning strategies and how well they were implemented. This is important to note primarily because most conditioned spaces have systems that are insufficient to protect human health and do no harm.
In fact, the first COVID-19 patient in Wuhan spread it to others via an air conditioning unit even though they were more than 6 feet away. In a published study of the patient one scenario, a swab sample from the air conditioning system near the patient tested negative, indicating that the virus droplets indeed were not filtered and likely circulating around the restaurant via the air conditioner’s blower. We’re inferring here that the COVID laden particles were being circulated by, not through, the air conditioning system.
Dr. Marr again:
“Consider the case of a restaurant in Guangzhou, southern China, at the beginning of the year, in which one diner infected with SARS-CoV-2 at one table spread the virus to a total of nine people seated at their table and two other tables.
Yuguo Li, a professor of engineering at the University of Hong Kong, and colleagues analyzed video footage from the restaurant and in a preprint (not peer reviewed) published in April found no evidence of close contact between the diners.”
“Droplets can’t account for transmission in this case, at least not among the people at the tables other than the infected person’s: The droplets would have fallen to the floor before reaching those tables.”
But the three tables were in a poorly ventilated section of the restaurant, and an air conditioning unit pushed air across them. Notably, too, no staff member and none of the other diners in the restaurant — including at two tables just beyond the air conditioner’s airstream — became infected.”
All evidence considered, the Starbucks case in South Korea is strikingly similar to the case of patient one in Wuhan. Air conditioned spaces with insufficient strategies employed for human health can and do cause serious health issues.
What Could Have Prevented These Infections?
To state the obvious, staying home or utilizing a curbside pickup system would have certainly prevented this particular infection cluster, but since many people are opting to continue some degree of public life as it was before the pandemic, let’s look at the other strategies available in hopes that more buildings can “bake in” protective measures without relying on occupant behavior.
Profs. Linsey Marr (Virginia Tech), Shelly Miller (CU Boulder), Kimberly Prather (UC-San Diego), Charles Haas (Drexel University), William Bahnfleth (Penn State), Richard Corsi (Portland State), and Jose-Luis Jimenez (CU Boulder) have written a fantastic and exhaustive FAQ document with lots of really great information. We’ve simplified a few salient points for those who aren’t able to dive in to that depth just yet.
Protective Masks
Wearing protective masks is a demonstrably effective strategy as evidenced by the Starbucks employees who did not become infected. Researchers have, for quite some time, known that masks can prevent people from spreading airway germs to others. These findings have driven much of the conversation around masks during the coronavirus pandemic and have been the catalyst for further research. As cases have continued to rise across the world (and especially here in the US), experts are pointing to a growing body of evidence suggesting that masks also protect the people wearing them, lessening the severity of symptoms, or in some instances, staving off infection entirely. This a growing body of research spans disciplines of virology, epidemiology, and ecology and the results so far suggest that universal masking not only protects others from a potentially infected individual, but also protects the mask wearer. The mechanism of protection is the reduction of the “inoculum” or dose of the virus for the mask wearer, leading to more mild and asymptomatic infection manifestations. Ideas about the importance of viral dose in the development of various diseases have been studied since the 1930s and what we have learned has contributed to the development of strategies to protect us against other airborne pollutants as well.
With regard to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, there is a notable new paper out on the effectiveness of mask wearing. Dr. Monica Gandhi, an infectious disease physician at the University of California, San Francisco wrote in a recent article:
“As governments and workplaces began to recommend or mandate mask-wearing, my colleagues and I noticed an interesting trend. In places where most people wore masks, those who did get infected seemed dramatically less likely to get severely ill compared to places with less mask-wearing.
It seems people get less sick if they wear a mask.
When you wear a mask – even a cloth mask – you typically are exposed to a lower dose of the coronavirus than if you didn’t. Both recent experiments in animal models using coronavirus and nearly a hundred years of viral research show that lower viral doses usually means less severe disease.
No mask is perfect, and wearing one might not prevent you from getting infected. But it might be the difference between a case of Covid-19 that sends you to the hospital and a case so mild you don’t even realize you’re infected.”
There you have it. Protective masks are a simple, relatively straightforward and inexpensive strategy to protect yourself and others from viral transmission.
Humidity Control
The impact of humidity on human comfort and health is important to understand and important to include in mechanical system designs. Humans and viruses prefer different indoor temperatures and humidities to thrive. Keeping indoor spaces in the Goldilocks zone of 40-60% relative humidity is an effective way to mitigate the spread of viruses like COVID. Our bodies natural defenses, our cilia and mucous tissues air impaired when the air gets too dry. Too wet, and the resultant microecology of damp buildings creates an ecosystem for a host of microbes, including fungi, bacteria and viruses impact the indoor microbiome in ways that negatively impact our health.
There are new approaches to modeling airborne droplet behaviors that illustrate the expelled droplets that carry the SARS-CoV-2 virus are sensitive to environmental conditions, including temperature, humidity, and ambient flows. Since these droplets play a key role in viral and other pollutant spread, we should have a keen sensitivity to controlling humidity in indoor environments. Further convincing evidence suggests this modeling strategy’s accuracy as noted in another study:
“At a higher humidity, the droplets grow faster, fall to the ground earlier and can be inhaled less by healthy people. A humidity level of at least 40 percent in public buildings and local transport would therefore not only reduce the effects of COVID-19, but also of other viral diseases such as seasonal flu.”
There is, of course, nuance here (this is a tricky set of topics). Take into account Stephanie H. Taylor MD M Architecture, CIC and her work in creating sufficient levels of humidity to support healthy immune function. Generally speaking, viruses thrive in dry conditions because they aerosolize and thus stay in the air longer. It’s also such that when your mucus tissues dry out, the cilia (which protect against viruses and other pollutants) don’t work like they should; the microbiome on the surfaces of your muco-cilia system don’t produce the right recipe to fight viruses.
“When our mucous lining becomes thick effective,particle capture is reduced. Particle capture becomes ineffective at as little as a 6% increase in mucous viscosity. Cystic fibrosis patients experience more infections because infectious particles settle and macrophages and dendritic cells don’t secrete needed proteins.
“Low ambient humidity impairs barrier function and innate resistance against influenza infection.” Akiko Iwasaki study found that the mammalian immune system is impaired at 10%-20% RH
The comfort zone is 40%-60%. Staying within the comfort zone is the goal. Staying within the comfort zone reduces infectivity.”
But in the case of SARS-CoV-2, and to add even more complexity to the topic of humidity and viral spread, its’ worth noting that the virus in question seems to behave a bit differently than its counterparts. This was recently described by Lew Harriman on an episode of IAQ Radio, in which he discussed the new ASHRAE document “Damp Buildings, Human Health and HVAC Design”. Harriman reminded listeners that, while Dr. Taylor’s findings are true, the SARS-CoV-2 virus is actually able to remain in the air for hours at a time at 50%RH. He also noted that the level of humidity control really depends on the building typology; grocery stores have different usage patterns than a home, for example.
So while studies of other viron can and do provide meaningful insights to reduce transmission in general terms, it is important to understand the specifics of the viral behavior in question before recommending or adopting a strategy. And, as with all science, the research body grows and our understanding will change. Remember that nothing is final, but in the applied science profession, we do our best to recommend solutions that help people based on the latest peer-reviewed research.
Ventilation
We’ve mentioned this strategy previously in this article and other articles we’ve written and podcast episodes we’ve recorded and we cannot overstate the importance of sufficient ventilation. Researchers, such as Jeffrey Siegel, are taking this message mainstream. The NPR segment, Marketplace, recently aired an interview with Siegel about the state of ventilation in buildings and how it’s negatively impacting virus transmission indoors.
From that interview:
“Molly Wood: It is my understanding that a lot of existing [heating, ventilation and air conditioning] systems, particularly in commercial buildings, do recirculate a lot of air in order to keep either cooled or heated air in the system. That was for efficiency purposes?
Siegel: That’s absolutely correct.
Wood: So in hindsight, was that a terrible mistake?
Siegel: No, absolutely not. We have a climate crisis. Energy use associated with buildings is a very big part of our energy footprint. Conditioning that air is one of the big users of energy within a building. So it’s important that we do it in an energy-efficient manner. I think that the bigger problem is that we have to be much more cognizant of how we’re managing ventilation. I think COVID-19 adds some variables to how we might manage ventilation. But in general, I think that we have the tools to do it. It might take some investment and so on, [but] we just have to be a little bit more proactive and engaged in how we manage the ventilation in our systems.”
This begs a common question we get from practitioners across the AEC industry - if we’re going through all the effort to design and build energy efficient buildings, but we’re also being told to ventilate, how do we reconcile those outcomes? And the truth is that it takes some careful consideration and calculation, but that is exactly the role of a good mechanical designer who has a sympathetic understanding of enclosures, energy performance, and human health. With the right framework, communication flows, and process, multiple simultaneous positive outcomes (energy efficiency, healthy air, budget sensible approach) are achievable.
If you were wondering about the ventilation of the building in the Starbucks case, Starbucks was specifically asked about their ventilation, and noted that "... the windows were opened for more than 10 minutes twice a day to ventilate," but that most of the windows were fixed glass and the only operable windows opened a narrow width of 30cm. There was no functional or known mechanical ventilation strategy.
When we spoke with Ty Newell recently about the role of ventilation in virus prevention, he walked us through a graph (see below) that was presented in a webinar he’d given (based on his research) in early August that may surprise you. Providing sufficient fresh air in indoor spaces is a clearly effective strategy in preventing virus transmission.
From Dr. Newell’s recent paper, Killing Ourselves With Comfort:
“Reduction of disease transmission within buildings and homes requires increased fresh air flow rates (at least doubling to 40cfm per person) and improved air filtration (to at least MERV11 filtration). Carbon dioxide concentration monitoring of every indoor building space is the key to reducing indoor virus transmission rates. Carbon dioxide concentration is a direct measure of human respiration rates, and therefore, virus concentration in the indoor environment. Maintaining indoor carbon dioxide concentrations below 800ppm, equivalent to doubling today’s inadequate, odor-based ventilation rates, will reduce disease transmission rates below the limit required for decay of Covid-19 transmission.”
But of course, like all subjects, there is complexity to consider in some situations. The unhealthy air from raging fires in California can actually make people more susceptible to COVID-19 as their lungs and immune systems can become overtaxed with the presence of toxic particulates via smoke inhalation. So robust filtration comes into focus as a crucial strategy for good indoor air quality.
Filtration
As we have pointed out in previous articles, ASHRAE suggests using filters with a minimum MERV-13 rating. Condensing significantly, MERV ratings are based on a filter’s performance/ability to filter out particles between 0.3 and 10 microns. SARS-CoV-2 can be found in respiratory droplets or attached to other pollutants in this size range; the higher the MERV number, the higher the probability that the filter will remove these droplets. However, the solution to all problems is not to install a higher MERV rated filter to a building’s central air conditioning system, filters are part of a system and as such the parameters of the rest of the system can aid or impair a filter’s ability to capture pollutants (which are substances that are harmful to human health). The filtration system can’t leak air or let air bypass the filter and find another path to the conditioned space. Filtration efficacy is also dependent on the type of filtration media, it’s electrostatic properties and the velocity (speed and direction) of the particles as the approach the filter.
An interesting quirk of the physics of filtration is the very smallest particles are actually easier to filter out than the 0.3 micron ones. The smallest particles get pushed toward filter fibers because of their collisions with gas molecules in the air. We recorded a fascinating, but relatively slow podcast episode on the wild world of filtration some years ago that is worth your consideration. Even Vox is getting in on the air quality conversation, with a recent article about the effectiveness of air filtration and virus transmission prevention. These ideas are not only on the radar of scientists anymore, but major media outlets.
Remember that simply replacing a non-HEPA with a HEPA filter in existing equipment may worsen the problem. Make sure your system can accommodate the air flow needs of a HEPA filter. If your system can’t, you can explore a more decentralized approach through portable room air cleaners instead. Take a look at The Wirecutter’s recent review of portable room air cleaners for a pretty comprehensive list of consumer grade pieces of equipment you can buy online today.
In summary, we were already in the midst of a revolution of understanding in the field of IAQ when the SARS-CoV-2 virus abruptly entered our lives and brought the field more sharply into focus. As is evidenced by the Starbucks case, studying the impact of HVAC systems on human health, especially during a pandemic, is crucial to protect us against future outbreaks. With the data gathered from the diligent research currently taking place, we will continue to understand a more complete picture of how we can use indoor air quality as a public health tool that’s “baked in” to our society’s buildings. We have a lot of work to do, a lot to learn and understand, but we have the tools, the data and the motivation like never before. Pandemics don’t just work themselves out - they end when smart people take good science, communicate it effectively to the public, and we work together to take care of one another.
On The Horizon - Emergent Knowledge
The following are some examples of topics in the emerging research field of indoor air quality.
Better sensors and analytic tools - NGS next generation sequencing equipment.
New data streams (IAQ data) - PTR-ToF-MS (proton transfer reaction, time of flight, mass spectrometers).
Rapid IT development - we can handle big data sets and find the needles in the haystacks.
Goal to personalize Healthcare - human genome unlocks microbial genomes as well.
Metagenomics is the study of genetic material recovered directly from environmental samples. The broad field may also be referred to as environmental genomics, ecogenomics or community genomics.
Epigenetics focuses on processes that regulate how and when certain genes are turned on and turned off, while epigenomics pertains to analysis of epigenetic changes across many genes in a cell or entire organism. ... The epigenome can mark DNA in two ways, both of which play a role in turning genes off or on.
Metabolomics is the large-scale study of small molecules , commonly known as metabolites, within cells, biofluids, tissues or organisms. Collectively, these small molecules and their interactions within a biological system are known as the metabolome.
Proteomics is the large-scale study of proteomes. A proteome is a set of proteins produced in an organism, system, or biological context.
Glycomics is the comprehensive study of glycomes (the entire complement of sugars, whether free or present in more complex molecules of an organism), including genetic, physiologic, pathologic, and other aspects.